For the title:
Corinthians are favourites, with a 42% chance of title success, whilst Vasco are in clear second with a 3/10 chance of a title.
Fluminense’s chances are increasing rapidly – now up to 18%, whilst Botafogo are heading in the other direction (now 6%). Figueirense and Flamengo have just a 2% chance.
For the Libertadores spots:
Corinthians are almost there, with a 99% chance of Libertadores qualification – whilst Vasco and Santos are already qualified by virtue of Copa do Brasil and Libertadores wins respectively.
Botafogo have almost a 3 in 4 chance of Libertadores qualification, whilst Flamengo also have good odds of 59%. Should either side miss-out, Figueirense are the most likely to take advantage – with a 49% chance of qualification
Internacional have a 17% chance, São Paulo now have just a 9% chance, Coritiba 6% and Grêmio 2%.
For Relegation:
América-MG and Avaí are as good as relegated, with just a 1% chance of survival this season. Atlético-PR will also require a miracle, with only a 23% chance of survival.
Cruzeiro find themselves in big trouble and would find themselves relegated 3 times in 5, whereas for Ceará it is a 1 in 2 chance.
Bahia have just an 8% chance of a fall, Atlético-MG 4% and Palmeiras 2%.
(Article translated by Christopher Atkins)
